The Utah State Aggies and Arizona Wildcats battle Sunday at 7:50 p.m. ET in a NCAA Tournament West Region game in San Diego, California.
March 21, 2026, 11:57 p.m. ET
The Utah State Aggies (29-6) and No. 2 Arizona Wildcats (33-2) battle Sunday in a NCAA Tournament West Region game in San Diego, California. Tip-off at Viejas Arena is slated for 7:50 p.m. ET (truTV). Let’s analyze NCAA basketball odds around the Utah State vs. Arizona odds and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions for the best bets.
Utah State, the No. 9 seed in the West Region, defeated the 8-seed Villanova Wildcats Friday. The -1.5 Aggies took down the Wildcats 86-76 (Over 148.5), doing so in 1- and 2-point fashion. USU went 26 of 35 (74.3%) on 2-pointers and 28 of 36 (77.8%) at the free-throw line in winning their fifth straight game and fourth in a row against the spread (ATS). The Aggies went 2-for-16 on 3-point shots.
Top-seeded Arizona routed the +30.5 Long Island Sharks 92-58 (Over 147.5) Friday. The efficient-at-both ends Wildcats held the Sharks to a 32.4% mark from the field. UA has held foes to a 37.6% shooting mark over its last 7 games.
Arizona is 1-4 against Utah State, but has only played the Aggies once in the past 62 years, when the Wildcats beat them 66-53 in a first-round NCAA Tournament game in 2005.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll
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Utah State vs. Arizona odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Utah State +540 (bet $100 to win $540) | Arizona -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Utah State +11.5 (-106) | Arizona -11.5 (-114)
- Over/Under (O/U): 154.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Utah State vs. Arizona picks and predictions
Prediction
Arizona 84, Utah State 74
No interest; PASS.
Utah State is 6-1 ATS in neutral-site games.
The Aggies don’t have the big-brand cache, but they are a top-30 team in efficiency rankings. Utah State is a veteran team with decent depth, and the team’s both-ends-of-the-floor efficiency numbers have been solid when playing away from home. The Aggies getting this one to the finish line with a single-digit deficit would not be a surprise.
Arizona does have systemic talent edges just about everywhere, but peg the Wildcats as being due some regression in a couple key spots. January and February Big 12 games against the likes of the Baylor Bears, BYU Cougars, Cincinnati Bearcats, Kansas Jayhawks and UCF Knights spell decent comps for this one. UA went 3-4 ATS in 7 games against those foes during that stretch, and in this one the Wildcats are catching a USU team playing with some confidence.
Consider a partial-unit play on UTAH STATE +11.5 (-106).
The Over is 4-1 across Arizona’s last 5 games and 9-4 in Utah State’s last 13.
The expected pace here figures as slightly faster than average. So, more possessions with some solid potential for a lot of clock-stopped, uncontested 15-footers (free throws). And look for Arizona to get a decent chunk of second-chance points. USU has finished games well lately; a close-enough late charge may well help the Aggies win on the ATS side and push this total past the profit point.
BACK THE OVER 154.5 (-115).
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Source: Utah News